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Whole-brain modeling of dynamic causal circuits in human cognition using amortized variational inference

Created on 10 Aug 2026

Authors

Lee, B., Rouillard, L., Diniz, L. L., Jiang, L., Ambrogioni, L., Ryali, S., Branigan, N., Mistry, P., Cai, W., Wassermann, D., Menon, V.

Abstract

Understanding dynamic mechanisms underlying cognition remains a major challenge in human neuroscience. Here, we develop, validate, and apply Multivariate Dynamical Systems Identification with Amortized Variational Inference (MDSI-AVI), a novel computational framework designed to address critical challenges in capturing asymmetric, context-dependent, whole-brain directed interactions while accounting for regional hemodynamic response variability in fMRI data. MDSI-AVI leverages simulation-based inference through forward and reverse variational inference to address the limitations of conventional variational methods in high-dimensional settings. By averaging over uncertainty in hemodynamic response parameters using forward simulation, MDSI-AVI provides well-calibrated posteriors of directed connectivity that scale efficiently to networks with hundreds of nodes. Applied to Human Connectome Project data (N=728), MDSI-AVI reveals new insights into working memory mechanisms, identifying the dorsal anterior insula as a critical hub influencing activity at the whole-brain level. We demonstrate task-dependent modulation of causal influences, where the salience network drives frontoparietal network activity, which differentially influences the default mode and sensorimotor networks depending on working memory load. These whole-brain causal interactions distinguish task conditions with high accuracy and predict working memory performance. Our framework demonstrates reproducible results across whole-brain parcellations, establishing MDSI-AVI as a robust tool for advancing our understanding of circuit dynamics in cognition and disease.

Preprint server: bioRxiv
The authors list and abstract were imported from bioRxiv on 10 Aug 2026.

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