Cervical cerclage outcomes by indication and cervical length across gestational-age thresholds: a historical cohort study.

Authors

Aybekcan Batman, Muhammed Kutluhan Azman, Hale Özer Çaltek, Ali Konu, Ecem Okşen, Alper Türkoğlu, Hakan Erenel

Published in

BMC pregnancy and childbirth. Jul 04, 2026. Epub Jul 04, 2026.

Abstract

Cervical cerclage reduces the risk of preterm birth, but factors associated with its success may not be uniform. Among singleton pregnancies with ultrasound- or physical examination-indicated cerclage (no history-based indication), we examined whether factors associated with delivery differ by gestational-age threshold.
This single-center historical cohort included 114 women undergoing cerclage between May 2020 and December 2025: ultrasound-indicated with cervical length 10 to < 20 mm (Group 1, n = 41) or < 10 mm (Group 2, n = 32), and physical examination-indicated cervical dilatation (Group 3, n = 41). All cerclages used the McDonald technique with polypropylene monofilament suture. The primary outcome was gestational age at delivery, assessed at ≥ 34, < 32, and < 28 weeks. Firth penalized multivariable logistic regression evaluated study group, maternal age, and gestational age at cerclage as primary covariates; post-cerclage cervical length was analyzed separately as a secondary post-treatment-adjusted variable. All models were exploratory, and p values were nominal.
In these exploratory models, factors associated with delivery differed across thresholds. For delivery ≥ 34 weeks, gestational age at cerclage was the only covariate independently associated with the outcome (aOR 1.28 per week, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.59; p = 0.021). For delivery before 32 weeks (aOR 2.96, 95% CI 1.08 to 8.66; p = 0.034) and before 28 weeks (aOR 9.36, 95% CI 1.98 to 91.11; p = 0.003), physical examination-indicated cerclage was the only covariate that reached significance; 11 of the 14 deliveries before 28 weeks occurred in this group, so this estimate is imprecise and near-separating. The numerically higher rate of delivery ≥ 34 weeks in Group 2 than Group 1 (78.1% vs. 70.7%) was not statistically significant. Apparent discrimination was moderate (AUC 0.69 to 0.77), without internal validation.
In this exploratory single-center cohort, the factors associated with delivery varied with the gestational-age threshold examined. Near term, later gestational age at cerclage was associated with delivery ≥ 34 weeks; at earlier thresholds, physical examination-indicated cerclage identified a higher-risk group for very and extreme preterm delivery, although these estimates were imprecise and partly confounded by indication severity and co-interventions. Findings should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating and require confirmation in larger prospective studies.

PMID:
42401881
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 05 Jul 2026.

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