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Altitude and case fatality rate from COVID-19 during the pandemic in Peru, 2020-2022.

Created on 10 Jul 2026

Authors

Rodrigo Robles-Mariños, Diego Fano-Sizgorich, Germán F Alvarado, Gustavo F Gonzales

Published in

Revista peruana de medicina experimental y salud publica. Volume 43. Issue 1. Pages 27-40. Mar 17, 2026. Epub Mar 17, 2026.

Abstract

To evaluate the functional form of the association between the district altitude of residence and the case fatality rate of COVID-19 cases in Peru during the 2020-2022 period.
A retrospective cohort study was conducted using secondary data from the Ministry of Health of Peru on COVID-19 cases and deaths. District altitude of residence was categorized into four groups (0-500; 501-2,000; 2,001-3,500; and ≥3,501 masl). The outcome was death from COVID-19 according to the official death registry. Poisson regression was used to estimate adjusted relative risks for individual and contextual variables, using robust variance clustered by district. The analyses were repeated according to the five epidemic waves that occurred between March 2020 and December 2022.
A non-linear association was observed between the altitude of residence and death from COVID-19, consistent with a "U-shaped" pattern, characterized by a lower risk of death in cases residing between 2,001 and 3,500 masl compared to those residing between 0 and 500 masl. This pattern remained consistent in the analyses stratified by epidemic wave.
In Peru, during the 2020-2022 period, the data do not support a monotonic decrease in the risk of death from COVID-19 with increasing altitude of residence. On the contrary, the results suggest a non-linear relationship, with lower lethality at intermediate altitudes (2,001-3,500 masl).

PMID:
42424281
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 10 Jul 2026.

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