Global prevalence of post-COVID-19 condition (Long COVID): a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.

Authors

Samal Kassymbek, Aigul Abduldayeva, Nikolay Safonov

Published in

Frontiers in public health. Volume 14. Pages 1839646. Epub Jun 25, 2026.

Abstract

Long COVID is an umbrella term for persistent, relapsing, or newly developed health problems after SARS-CoV-2 infection, whereas post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) refers more specifically to the World Health Organization clinical case definition. Reported prevalence varies substantially because of differences in terminology, operational definitions, study populations, follow-up duration, hospitalization status, and symptom ascertainment. This systematic review and meta-analysis synthesized global observational evidence on Long COVID/PCC prevalence and examined major sources of variability.
A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted according to PRISMA 2020 principles. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, and the WHO COVID-19 Global Literature Database were searched for studies published from 1 January 2020 to 23 February 2026. Observational studies were eligible if they included individuals with confirmed or probable SARS-CoV-2 infection, reported Long COVID/PCC or persistent post-COVID symptoms at least 4 weeks after acute infection, and provided numerator and denominator data. Terminology and operational case definitions were extracted separately. Prevalence estimates were pooled using a random-effects model with logit transformation and back-transformation. Heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q, I², tau², and prediction intervals. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed.
Twenty-two studies contributing 27 prevalence estimates and more than 200,000 participants were included. The primary estimate-level pooled prevalence was 30.8% (95% CI 26.8-35.0). Heterogeneity was extreme: Q = 8031.9, df = 26, p < 0.001; I² = 99.7%; tau² = 0.252 on the logit scale. The prediction interval was 14.0-54.8%. Pooled prevalence was higher among hospitalized cohorts (37.9%, 95% CI 29.5-47.1) than among non-hospitalized, community-based, or mixed cohorts (26.2%, 95% CI 22.0-30.9). WHO-defined PCC yielded lower prevalence (22.8%, 95% CI 14.3-34.4) than broader symptom-based definitions (39.7%, 95% CI 30.5-49.5). Cohort-level sensitivity analysis yielded a similar prevalence of 31.0% (95% CI 26.8-35.4).
Long COVID/PCC represents a substantial post-acute public health burden. However, because heterogeneity was extreme, the pooled prevalence should be interpreted as a descriptive summary of heterogeneous observational evidence rather than as a single precise global rate. Standardized definitions, harmonized surveillance, transparent reporting, rehabilitation pathways, and multidisciplinary care models are needed.

PMID:
42428921
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 10 Jul 2026.

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