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Blood Lead Levels and Mortality Risk in Cancer Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study with Mediation and Pan-Cancer Pathway Analysis.

Created on 11 Aug 2026

Authors

Jiukang Sun, Wenyuan Gan, Jing Zhou, Wenlou Liu, Zhengxiang Han

Published in

Biological trace element research. Aug 11, 2026. Epub Aug 11, 2026.

Abstract

Blood lead levels were associated with increased mortality in cancer patients, with mediation analyses suggesting a partial role of oxidative stress and inflammation, and heterogeneity across cancer types linked to Hallmark pathway activity. We analyzed 2,689 cancer patients from NHANES (1999-2016) using Cox regression, restricted cubic spline, and mediation analyses. Over 22,151.5 person-years, 983 deaths occurred. Compared with the lowest quartile, the highest blood lead quartile was associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR = 2.44; 95% CI: 1.79-3.34) and cancer mortality (HR = 2.34; 95% CI: 1.20-4.46). Lipid-adjusted inflammation indicators-including uric acid-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio (UHR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI)-mediated 4.51-5.72% of the association, supporting partial mediation through oxidative stress and inflammation. The effect varied by cancer type and correlated with TCGA Hallmark pathway activities, including KRAS signaling (ρ = -0.95) and xenobiotic metabolism (ρ = 0.79), suggesting that molecular context modulates lead toxicity.

PMID:
42576141
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 11 Aug 2026.

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