Authors
Iulli P Cardoso, Tirzah M Siqueira, Luis Carlos Timm
Published in
Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciencias. Volume 98. Issue 3. Pages e20241458. Epub Aug 24, 2026.
Abstract
Proper management of natural resources is essential to improve agricultural productivity and reduce potential losses. The PROJETA platform provides global climate models regionalized by the ETA model, enabling more accurate climate projections for specific regions. This study aimed to evaluate the influence of climate change on irrigation water demand using three global climate models (CANESM2, HADGEM2-ES, and MIROC5) regionalized by the ETA model for the baseline period (1961-2005) and two future scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). The scenarios were subdivided into three future periods and analyzed for 27 municipalities located in the Southern and Steppe regions of Rio Grande do Sul using the SWAP (Soil, Water, Atmosphere and Plant) model. The results indicate variations in irrigation water demand among models and scenarios. Some projections suggest an increase in irrigation requirements in certain municipalities, while others indicate a reduction when compared to the baseline period. The projected increase in water demand is mainly associated with rising temperatures, which may intensify crop transpiration and soil water evaporation. These findings highlight the importance of climate adaptation strategies and improved water resource management to support sustainable agricultural production under future climate conditions.
PMID:
42659533
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 28 Aug 2026.
Read full publication at:
Please sign in
to see all details.
Advertisement
Stats
- Recommendations n/a n/a positive of 0 vote(s)
- Views 7
- Comments 0