Comparative Prognostic Performance of Hippocampal Volume and Plasma Biomarkers in Amyloid-Negative Subjective Cognitive Decline: A Four-Year Follow-up.

Authors

Bora Yoon, Hyuk-Je Lee, Yun Jeong Hong, Kee Hyung Park, SangYun Kim, Min Jeong Wang, Seong Hye Choi, Sungmin Kang, Jee Hyang Jeong, Dong Won Yang

Published in

Journal of clinical neurology (Seoul, Korea). Volume 22. Issue 5. Pages 560-572.

Abstract

Subjective cognitive decline (SCD) may precede mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. However, the prognosis of patients with amyloid-negative (A-) SCD remains unclear. We investigated whether baseline plasma and imaging biomarkers predict four-year clinical progression in A-SCD.
Sixty-five individuals with A-SCD were followed for four years. Baseline plasma biomarkers-phosphorylated tau 181 (pTau181), glial fibrillary acidic protein, neurofilament light chain (NfL), and pTau181/Aβ42 ratio-and MRI markers (hippocampal volume and white matter hyperintensity [WMH] grade) were assessed. Outcomes included MCI conversion and cognitive progression defined as ≥1-point (Prog-1) or ≥2-point (Prog-2) decline in Korean Mini-Mental State Examination. Predictive performance was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression and bootstrap-validated receiver operating characteristic analyses.
Fourteen participants (21.5%) converted to MCI, and 24 (36.9%) were classified as Prog-1. Plasma biomarkers did not show consistent predictive performance across predefined endpoints (all p>0.05), although NfL demonstrated modest discrimination for MCI conversion (area under the curve [AUC] 0.686, p=0.008). Hippocampal volume demonstrated significant discriminative performance for MCI conversion (AUC 0.765, p=0.016) and Prog-1 (AUC 0.933, p<0.001). For Prog-2, hippocampal volume showed high discrimination (AUC 0.952, p<0.001). WMH grade also demonstrated significant discrimination for MCI conversion (AUC 0.835, p<0.001) and Prog-1 (AUC 0.857, p<0.001). Bootstrap analyses (1,000 iterations) tended to show higher AUC estimates for imaging markers compared with plasma biomarkers.
In this A-SCD cohort, hippocampal atrophy demonstrated more consistent prognostic performance than Alzheimer's disease-focused plasma biomarkers for predicting four-year conversion to MCI and cognitive decline, suggesting a potential role for MRI-based neurodegeneration markers in clinical risk stratification.

PMID:
42683796
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 02 Sep 2026.

Read full publication at:
Please sign in to see all details.

Stats

1-terrible, 9-excellent. How would you rate this publication? Sign in in to submit your rating.

Post a comment

You need to be signed in to post comments. You can sign in here.

Comments

There are no comments yet.