A CFH- and SPINT2-based prognostic signature for cholangiocarcinoma.

Authors

Sen Chen, Weiyang Ma, Beiqi Li, Jie Zhang, Wenxi Xie

Published in

Journal of gastrointestinal oncology. Volume 17. Issue 4. Pages 259. Aug 31, 2026. Epub Aug 27, 2026.

Abstract

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a highly malignant tumor with a poor prognosis, and reliable biomarkers for postoperative risk stratification remain limited. This study aimed to develop and validate a CFH- and SPINT2-based prognostic signature to support postoperative risk stratification and inform adjuvant therapy selection in CCA through integrative machine learning and single-cell transcriptomics.
Differentially expressed genes were screened from GSE26566. Integrative machine learning (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-Cox, random forest, and univariate Cox regression) was performed in the training cohort (GSE89749; n=115) to construct a risk model, which was externally validated in two independent cohorts: cohort 1 (E-MTAB-6389; n=75) and cohort 2 [The Cancer Genome Atlas Cholangiocarcinoma (TCGA-CHOL) data set; n=36]. Systematic analysis was conducted and included examinations of immune infiltration [via single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA)], pathway enrichment (via hallmark GSEA), cellular localization (via single-cell RNA sequencing), and drug sensitivity (via the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer 2 database).
Two genes, CFH and SPINT2, were identified and incorporated into a prognostic risk score. High-risk patients in the training cohort had a significantly worse overall survival (log-rank P=0.02). External validation was performed in two independent cohorts. In validation cohort 1, the risk group was an independent prognostic factor [hazard ratio =2.27, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.18-4.37; P=0.01]. In validation cohort 2, the model demonstrated acceptable discriminative ability (concordance index =0.721; 3-year area under the curve =0.692). The high-risk group exhibited an immunosuppressive microenvironment characterized by increased infiltration of macrophages and myeloid-derived suppressor cells, along with the activation of epithelial-mesenchymal transition, inflammatory response, and NF-κB signaling pathways. Single-cell analysis revealed a cell-type-specific expression pattern: CFH was predominantly expressed in fibroblasts, while SPINT2 was mainly expressed in malignant cells. Drug sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the high-risk group was more sensitive to gemcitabine, cisplatin, poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) inhibitors, and mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) inhibitors, whereas the low-risk group was more sensitive to lapatinib.
The CFH- and SPINT2-based prognostic signature may serve as an independent biomarker for postoperative risk stratification in CCA. High-risk patients, characterized by fibroblast-derived CFH enrichment and malignant-cell SPINT2 loss, exhibit an immunosuppressive microenvironment and may be more suitable for gemcitabine-based chemotherapy or PARP/mTOR inhibitors, whereas low-risk patients may benefit from less intensive adjuvant strategies or HER2/EGFR-targeted lapatinib. Prospective validation is warranted before clinical implementation.

PMID:
42703318
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 07 Sep 2026.

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