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Rethinking the trade-off hypothesis in evolutionary epidemiology.

Created on 09 Sep 2026

Authors

Davide Coraci

Published in

History and philosophy of the life sciences. Volume 48. Issue 3. Sep 08, 2026. Epub Sep 08, 2026.

Abstract

The trade-off hypothesis plays a foundational role in the theoretical framework of modern evolutionary epidemiology, proposing that pathogen fitness is maximized at intermediate levels of virulence. Despite its influence on the study of host-pathogen interactions, the hypothesis has been criticized for its limited empirical support and the conceptual ambiguities surrounding the definition of virulence. This paper reassesses the scientific status of the trade-off hypothesis by interpreting the dependencies among epidemiological parameters as constitutive principles. Therefore, the results of the seminal 1982 work of Anderson and May are reinterpreted as a shift in the constitutive principles underpinning the paradigm of evolutionary epidemiology. This perspective provides a novel basis for evaluating the empirical support for the trade-off hypothesis and reassessing the debate regarding its validity.

PMID:
42709352
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 09 Sep 2026.

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