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Acute Diarrheal Disease Associated With Climate Variability and Water Supply System Configuration: An Ecological Study in Brazil.

Created on 09 Sep 2026

Authors

Isabel Francisco de Araújo Reis, Paula Cristine Silva Gomes, Thaís Barreto Santana, Lívia Cristina Pinto Dias, Marcelo de Souza Lauretto, Maria Tereza Pepe Razzolini, Aníbal da Fonseca Santiago

Published in

Water environment research : a research publication of the Water Environment Federation. Volume 98. Issue 9. Pages e70563.

Abstract

Acute diarrheal disease (ADD) remains a major public health problem in low- and middle-income countries, where vulnerabilities in water supply systems (WSSs) are associated with increased exposure to disease. Rainfall patterns influenced by climate change are also associated with changes in ADD occurrence, although evidence on the interaction between ADD, WSS configurations, and climate variability remains limited. This ecological study used water quality indicators, health surveillance records, and generalized linear models to assess associations between different WSS configurations, including conventional treatment systems, disinfection systems, and systems distributing a mixture of treated and raw water. The exponentiated coefficient for systems distributing a mixture of treated and raw water was exp(β) = 1.21 (95% CI: 1.03-1.43; p = 0.032), indicating that ADD rates were 21% higher in these systems than in conventional treatment systems. Similarly, the exponentiated coefficient for the dry season was exp(β) = 0.73 (95% CI: 0.62-0.86; p = 0.001), indicating that ADD rates were 27% lower during the dry season than during the rainy season. Water quality indicators showed no statistically significant association with ADD cases. These findings highlight the importance of improving water treatment infrastructure, particularly in hybrid WSSs, to reduce ADD rates and protect public health.

PMID:
42714295
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 09 Sep 2026.

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