Predictors of Treatment Outcomes Among HIV-Positive Patients with Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis in Rural Eastern Cape, South Africa: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Authors

Thembile Zini, Urgent Tsuro, Lindiwe Modest Faye, Ncomeka Sineke, Monwabisi Faleni

Published in

International journal of environmental research and public health. Volume 23. Issue 4. Apr 09, 2026. Epub Apr 09, 2026.

Abstract

Drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) remains a major public health challenge in South Africa, particularly in rural settings with high HIV co-infection rates. Understanding predictors of treatment response among people living with HIV is essential for improving clinical management and programmatic outcomes. This study aimed to identify socio-demographic and clinical predictors of treatment outcomes among HIV-positive individuals diagnosed with multidrug-resistant (MDR) and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB) in rural Eastern Cape Province, South Africa.
A retrospective cohort study was conducted using routinely collected clinical records of DR-TB patients initiated on treatment between January 2020 and December 2024 at two public healthcare facilities. A total of 239 patients with complete treatment outcome data were included. Treatment outcomes were classified as favourable (cured or treatment completed) or unfavourable (death, treatment failure, or loss to follow-up). Descriptive statistics were used to summarise patient characteristics, while univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with treatment outcomes.
Most participants were aged ≤ 39 years (58%), male (60%), unemployed (90%), and without income (80%). MDR-TB accounted for 40% of cases, rifampicin-resistant-TB (RR-TB) for 53%, and XDR-TB for 7.1%. Multivariable analysis showed that XDR-TB was the strongest independent predictor of unfavourable treatment outcome (AOR = 0.18; 95% CI: 0.06-0.58; p = 0.004). Income status was also significantly associated with outcome, with participants reporting some incomes having lower odds of favourable outcomes (AOR = 0.46; 95% CI: 0.23-0.92; p = 0.036). The model demonstrated modest predictive performance (AUC = 0.67).
These findings highlight the dominant influence of resistance phenotype, particularly XDR-TB, on treatment prognosis among HIV-positive DR-TB patients in rural Eastern Cape. Integrating early resistance profiling, intensified clinical management of XDR-TB, and socioeconomic support mechanisms may improve treatment outcomes in high-burden rural settings.

PMID:
42074413
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 15 Sep 2026.

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