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Two-year dynamic risk stratification and adjuvant radioiodine efficacy in initial non-distant metastatic papillary thyroid carcinoma harboring TERT promoter mutations.

Created on 15 Oct 2026

Authors

Xian-Zhao Deng, Meng-Yue Liu, Chen-Tian Shen, Hong-Jun Song, Jian Wang, You-Ben Fan, Quan-Yong Luo, Juan Tang, Xiao-Er Wei, Zhong-Ling Qiu

Published in

Frontiers in oncology. Volume 16. Pages 1895987. Epub Sep 30, 2026.

Abstract

The clinical utility of postoperative radioiodine (131I) ablation remains unclear for patients with initially diagnosed non-distant metastatic papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) with harboring TERT promoter(TERT-p) mutations, it is unknown whether 131I therapy reduces the risk of persistent or recurrent disease. This study investigated clinicopathological features, 2-year dynamic therapeutic responses and progression-free survival (PFS) in this specific patient cohort.
A single-center retrospective cohort study enrolled 113 eligible patients, allocated to the 131I ablation group (n=62) and non-131I group (n=51). Two-year dynamic risk stratification assessed treatment response. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models were used for survival analysis.
The predominant TERT-p variant was C228T (89.4%), and most patients carried concurrent BRAFV600E mutations. Only initial surgical approach remained an independent intergroup variable. Within 2 years, 46.0% achieved acceptable responses, associated with sex and primary surgery (p=0.036,p < 0.001). High baseline ATA risk was strongly correlated with structural residual lesions and unfavorable therapeutic response (p < 0.001).No significant between-group differences in response were observed across all ATA risk subgroups. The median follow-up was 4.6 years; 3- and 5-year PFS rates were 67.5% and 39.1%. Age ≥55 years, N1b stage and high baseline ATA risk were independent adverse predictors of PFS. Both 2-year therapeutic response and PFS at the end of follow-up exhibited no statistical differences between the 131I group and non-131I group.
In this retrospective observational cohort, postoperative 131I ablation was not associated with improved PFS among patients with non-distant metastatic TERT-p-mutant PTC. Advanced age, N1b lymphatic metastasis and high baseline ATA risk independently predict poor outcomes. Biologically, TERT-p mutations induce tumor dedifferentiation and impaired iodine uptake, diminishing 131I efficacy. Clinically, routine 131I yields no survival benefit for this high-risk molecular subgroup, guiding individualized surveillance and avoiding redundant 131I exposure.

PMID:
42876643
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 15 Oct 2026.

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