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Can artificial intelligence match refractive surgeons?: A comparative analysis of refractive surgery candidate selection.

Created on 11 Nov 2026

Authors

İlter İritaş, Murat Erdağ

Published in

Medicine. Volume 105. Issue 44. Pages e51367. Oct 30, 2026.

Abstract

This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of 2 large language models (LLMs) - ChatGPT-5.0 and Gemini Flash 2.5 - in assessing refractive-surgery eligibility and recommending appropriate procedures, using refractive-surgeon consensus as the reference standard. This retrospective, single-center study included the right eyes of 40 consecutive patients evaluated for refractive surgery at Başkent University Hospital (Istanbul, Türkiye). To avoid inter-eye correlation, only the right eye of each patient was included. Standardised refractive and corneal tomographic data obtained using the Pentacam HR were independently reviewed by 2 refractive surgeons and by the 2 LLMs. Each model received identical English-language prompts once per eye. Outputs were classified as "eligible," "borderline," or "ineligible"; for all binary statistical analyses, borderline assessments were grouped with the ineligible category. Recommended surgical procedures were recorded separately, with more than 2 procedure permitted for the same eye. Agreement between experts and between each LLM and expert consensus was assessed using Gwet's agreement coefficient 1 (AC1) coefficient. Inter-expert agreement was good (AC1 = 0.78). Compared with expert consensus, ChatGPT-5.0 demonstrated very good agreement (AC1 = 0.92), outperforming Gemini Flash 2.5, which showed good agreement (AC1 = 0.78). Both LLMs accurately identified most "eligible" eyes; however, specificity and negative predictive values exhibited wide confidence intervals due to the limited number of "ineligible" cases. ChatGPT-5.0 showed higher sensitivity (92.1%) and negative predictive value (40.0%) than Gemini Flash 2.5 (81.6% and 22.2%, respectively). Notably, neither model recommended implantable collamer lens surgery, even when clinically appropriate. ChatGPT-5.0 demonstrated very good agreement with expert consensus and higher agreement than Gemini Flash 2.5 in refractive-surgery eligibility assessment. Although both LLMs show potential as adjunctive decision-support tools, the omission of large language model recommendations and prompt-dependent variability limit their suitability for autonomous clinical use. Further optimization using comprehensive refractive-surgery datasets is required to improve clinical reliability.

PMID:
43012843
Bibliographic data and abstract were imported from PubMed on 11 Nov 2026.

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